Bonds Analysis & Opinion

In 2022, investors watched the Federal Reserve hike interest rates very quickly. And this in turn saw bond yields move much higher. Now in 2023, bond yields are beginning to moderate and pull back. We...

Interest rates have risen rather quickly as the Federal Reserve attempts to fight inflation. Will the move be a case of too far, too fast? Today’s long-term monthly chart of the United States 10-Year...

“When the supply and demand for bonds normalize, Treasury bond investors will likely realize that economics, inflation, and other factors warrant much lower yields.” The quote from Yields...

The Federal Reserve is expected to lift interest rates again at the next FOMC meeting on Feb. 1, but the futures market is pricing in high odds that the increase will be trimmed to a relatively mild...

Celebrating the drop in German inflation may be premature and headwinds to bond performance, especially for those denominated in euros, remain. The Fed minutes might not fulfill all of the...

Now that we are one day into the new year, there are 2 pieces of advice we can give you. First, is to learn a strategy and then become a specialist in that strategy. For example, why not pick phases?...

Most of the major asset classes suffered last week as markets reassessed the risk of ongoing hikes in interest rates and elevated recession risk, based on a set of ETFs for the trading week through...

The United States 10-Year yield continues to look elevated relative to CapitalSpectator.com’s “fair-value” estimate, which is based on the average of three models. That’s no...

10-Year US Yields About to Rebound Higher?The United States 10-Year Yields have been pulling back since toping back in October at 4.33% but are they about to rebound from current levels? The market...

Important inflation data hits Tuesday before the Fed finishes its final meeting of the year on Wednesday Corporate bond spreads should continue to be monitored, but we are not seeing significant...

The past few years have seen extreme volatility in the bond market, equating to similar interest rate fluctuations. And it all started with the onset of the coronavirus. The initial panic decline in...

Considering our national debt and the debts of companies and consumers, it’s evident that the bond market is critical to our economy. This is likely why the iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate...

Stocks are overbought and overvalued relative to bonds Over the next year or so, the macro and liquidity environment suggest bonds will fare significantly better than stocks. Institutions will...

“Get tomorrow’s Bloomberg headline, today, at Contrarian Outlook!” Our new slogan for 2023? Perhaps. I bring it up because our bond recession trade has already gained steam into an...