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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Feb 01, 2023 02:00PM ET
1
Weeks
4
Days
17
Hours
1
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Feb 01, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.420
4.50 - 4.75
59.4%
4.25 - 4.50
40.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 40.6% | 33.1% | 35.0% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 59.4% | 66.9% | 65.0% |
Updated: Jan 20, 2023 08:40PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 15, 2023 03:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.355
4.75 - 5.00
55.7%
5.00 - 5.25
11.6%
4.50 - 4.75
32.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 32.6% | 28.1% | 26.6% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 55.7% | 61.8% | 57.8% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 11.6% | 10.1% | 15.6% |
Updated: Jan 20, 2023 08:40PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
May 03, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.120
4.75 - 5.00
46.4%
5.00 - 5.25
29.4%
5.25 - 5.50
4.7%
4.50 - 4.75
19.5%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 19.5% | 17.3% | 16.4% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 46.4% | 48.9% | 45.8% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 29.4% | 29.9% | 31.8% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% |
Updated: Jan 20, 2023 08:40PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 14, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.105
4.75 - 5.00
43.7%
5.00 - 5.25
31.1%
5.25 - 5.50
7.2%
5.50 - 5.75
0.5%
4.50 - 4.75
17.5%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 17.5% | 15.6% | 14.2% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 43.7% | 45.7% | 41.9% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 31.1% | 31.8% | 33.7% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% |
Updated: Jan 20, 2023 08:40PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 26, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.105
4.75 - 5.00
37.9%
5.00 - 5.25
33.9%
5.25 - 5.50
12.5%
5.50 - 5.75
2.0%
5.75 - 6.00
0.1%
4.50 - 4.75
13.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 37.9% | 39.0% | 36.4% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 33.9% | 34.9% | 35.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 12.5% | 12.1% | 14.3% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Updated: Jan 20, 2023 08:40PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 20, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.180
4.75 - 5.00
28.7%
5.00 - 5.25
35.4%
5.25 - 5.50
20.7%
5.50 - 5.75
6.0%
5.75 - 6.00
0.8%
4.50 - 4.75
8.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 28.7% | 29.3% | 27.9% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 35.4% | 36.4% | 35.7% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 20.7% | 20.3% | 21.4% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Updated: Jan 20, 2023 08:40PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Nov 01, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.380
4.75 - 5.00
20.0%
5.00 - 5.25
32.5%
5.25 - 5.50
27.0%
5.50 - 5.75
12.3%
5.75 - 6.00
3.0%
6.00 - 6.25
0.4%
4.50 - 4.75
4.8%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 20.0% | 19.4% | 19.3% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 32.5% | 33.1% | 32.4% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 27.0% | 27.7% | 27.4% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 6.25 - 6.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: Jan 20, 2023 08:40PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 13, 2023 01:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.495
4.75 - 5.00
5.9%
5.00 - 5.25
20.8%
5.25 - 5.50
32.1%
5.50 - 5.75
26.0%
5.75 - 6.00
11.6%
6.00 - 6.25
2.8%
6.25 - 6.50
0.3%
4.50 - 4.75
0.3%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 20.8% | 21.0% | 20.9% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 32.1% | 32.5% | 31.8% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 26.0% | 25.9% | 25.6% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% |
| 6.25 - 6.50 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 6.50 - 6.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: Jan 20, 2023 08:40PM EST
Fed Fund Rates
News
U.S. stocks are mixed, but tech tries to stage a Netflix-fueled rally
By Investing.com - Jan 20, 2023
7
By Liz Moyer Investing.com -- U.S. stocks were mixed, but the technology sector was trying to stage a rally amid a wave of cost-cutting as firms brace for a slowdown. At 10:23 ET (14:43 GMT), the Dow...
Alphabet job cuts, Netflix growth, Genesis bankruptcy - what's moving markets
By Investing.com - Jan 20, 2023
15
By Geoffrey Smith Investing.com -- Technology stocks rise as Alphabet announces big job cuts and Netflix returns to the kind of subscriber growth that investors had thought was gone forever. Netflix...
Dow futures down 50 pts; Netflix to shine after strong subscriber adds
By Investing.com - Jan 20, 2023
1
By Peter Nurse Investing.com -- U.S. stocks are seen opening mixed Friday, with the tech sector set to outperform after strong subscriber numbers from streaming giant Netflix, ahead of more Fed...
Analysis
Silver Could Fly if Fed Stops Rate Hikes
By Arkadiusz Sieron - Jan 20, 2023
It is closer and closer… wrapping itself slowly but decisively around the economy like an anaconda around its prey. I mean a recession, of course. The recent bunch of economic data leaves no doubt...
Copper Creeps Toward June Highs in a Complicated China Bet
By Barani Krishnan/Investing.com - Jan 20, 2023
11
China’s worsening COVID woes might limit copper rally, outlooks say Possibility of US, European recessions add to global complications for metal LME copper could round year out by averaging...
Market Faces Key Test Next Week as Round 1 of Mega-Cap Tech Earnings Looms
By Jesse Cohen/Investing.com - Jan 20, 2023
2
Wall Street’s Q4 earnings season shifts into high gear next week There will be a lot on the line when Microsoft and Tesla report earnings Here’s what to watch for in their latest...