S&P 500 (SPX)

3,972.61
+73.76(+1.89%)
  • Open:
    3,909.04
  • Day's Range:
    3,897.86 - 3,972.96
  • 52 wk Range:
    3,491.58 - 4,637.30

S&P 500 Overview

Prev. Close
3,972.61
Volume
0
Day's Range
3,897.86-3,972.96
Open
3,909.04
Average Vol. (3m)
2,362,808,064
52 wk Range
3,491.58-4,637.3
1-Year Change
-11.38%
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Technical Summary

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Moving AveragesStrong BuyStrong BuyStrong BuyStrong BuyBuy
Technical IndicatorsStrong BuyStrong BuyStrong BuyStrong BuyStrong Sell
SummaryStrong BuyStrong BuyStrong BuyStrong BuyNeutral
  • FED'S WALLER: BASED ON SEP, WE'RE TALKING ABOUT ANOTHER 75 BASIS POINTS HIKE, FOLLOWED BY A PAUSE.
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    • Bull markets are inflationary
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      • we are gonna be soaring on these values all year , oscilating between 3500 and 4000, back and forward
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        • Funny, that's almost exactly what Bob Kendall, of the Kendall Report, said in early Nov. after running his WaveTech Research Tool on quarterly chart of ES (SnP 500 futures) that projects the next 10 periods (quarters). Price pressure momentum (PPM) metrics show support of the long term markets at 21-quarter (simple) moving avg., which was just below 3400 last Nov. (and rising since index closed much higher on 12/31/22, and resistance around 10 quarter MA, 4014 as of last Nov. (and falling since closed below that EOY). It makes sense to me. That doesn't mean the index can't trade above and below those levels intra quarter, since that's considered "noise" for a quarterly chart. But that's one of a number of reasons why I laugh at those who think index will be well below 3000 this year. The technicals don't support that thesis, and the fundamentals don't unless it's nasty recession, not the shallower one that's more consensus among the smart money, and certainly not soft landing. This fringe element of the "bear community" forgets this is an engineered economic weakness to curb extreme growth amid supply constraints, regarless of what caused such imbalances, and therefore can be remedied by reversing tight monetary policy. It's not a 9/11 induced recession or financial crisis or Asian currency crises. Yes, Putin is causing a human crisis in terms of grain, food and fertlizer supply shocks while attempting to raise fossil fuel prices to fund his war crimes against peace and humanity. Yes, China re-open will cause commodities inflation that could cause global inflation to remain stickier. So the upside is limited. But because this weakness isn't a black swan, it's manageable and has been done in the past, such as the early to mid 1990s. What really matters is the long term payoffs for buying low this year. Mr. Market is already thinking ahead. Folks are ready to put their money to work on the anticipated decline, and that will keep the downside limited even when the VIX soars. But the idea of VIX of 50 shows misunderstanding that VIX highs have actually been falling since the debt ceiling fight in late Sept. to early Oct. 2021. We'll see another one of those, but I doubt the VIX intermediate term highs move higher; that's not the trend.
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      • The daily, hourly and even 30-minute candlestick charts clearly depict the 3950-ish leel is an important pivotal point of resistance and support. I was thinking this is about as high as the index goes, but the Kendall Report tweeted hourly price pressure momentum shows the index moving up till close, a highly liquid order book, and "seems to be a big shift occurring." I would assume the big shift is to the downside, but Bob Kendall seems to suggest upside is more likely based on % of ticker symbols database that are bullish on daily and weekly patterns. If so, an 3970-ish level penetrated, then a higher high above 4015, like maybe 4050-ish, would be next upside target and quite possible, assuming 3885 support holds. If the major resistance line of the past year is penetrated, suggesting a bullish breakout, an immense short squeeze would take place. We're just about there and will know next week or so.
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        • How much money is wasted propping this up?
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          • Other people’s money…
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          • It will drop. The rich need to reload their shares for generational wealth for their grandchildren.
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          • In case you haven't heard, it's a combination of some top 'Wall Street' leaders saying mid October low is THE LOW of this bear market correction, and that given inflation trend is dissipating, albeit slower than normal, and rate are peaking in H1 2023, and labor market more resilient than typical recession, that you want to buy the dips. That's the bullish 'fundamentals' story. Technically, which is all that really matters, price action, we have a short squeeze this month as way too many market participants expected risk assets to tank by now, and they had to exit their bet. While my portfolio tilts strongly bearish, with a ton of SPY and other equity puts combined with UUP calls, mostly March, exp., I'm aware that penetrating 3970s is a checkmark for bulls who expect a higher high above 4015 on this rally. I knew 4050 was possible so must be prepared for that 'unlikely' scenario. But it will be painful. Markets can get extremely overbought if the overall sentiment has changed, especially if the evidence has changed. Some think it has. I don't, yet, but I must remain open minded toward the evidence either way.
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        • I'd say that's the high of the day. Short 10 @ 3946
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          • Fake everything...what a time to be ALIVE!
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            • PPT AT YOUR SERVICE!!!
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              • Plunge protection team hard at work...
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                • MM$ burning theta.
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